Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Beniers 49.4% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 72.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 78.3%
Neutral zone
Lazar 50.3%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Lazar
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lazar
Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
1
Lazar
Beniers
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (174)
48.9% (833)
+14.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
58.3% (36)
-58.3%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
50.0% (32)
+6.3%
On power play, Beniers has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Lazar is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Lazar shoots right. Beniers is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Lazar
Beniers
Home
63.3% (128)
52.4% (460)
Away
59.3% (118)
46.0% (441)
By Period
Lazar
Beniers
P1
64.6%
48.4%
P2
60.5%
51.1%
P3
59.0%
47.8%
Final 5 min
68.4%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
61.4%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |