Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Hischier 54.9% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 60.2%
Defensive zone
Lazar 88.6%
Neutral zone
Lazar 67.3%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Lazar
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lazar
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (174)
55.0% (1,107)
+8.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
63.1% (252)
-63.1%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
43.6% (149)
+12.7%
On power play, Hischier has a +63.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Lazar is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Lazar shoots right. Hischier is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Lazar
Hischier
Home
63.3% (128)
56.5% (763)
Away
59.3% (118)
54.0% (745)
By Period
Lazar
Hischier
P1
64.6%
56.0%
P2
60.5%
57.6%
P3
59.0%
53.0%
Final 5 min
68.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
61.4%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:43 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |