Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 48.8% vs Oshie 46.4% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 94.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 83.6%
Neutral zone
Oshie 68.6%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 81.8%
18.2%
81.8%
Lazar
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lazar
Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Lazar
Oshie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Lazar
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (2,623)
45.2% (764)
+4.6%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
47.7% (1,221)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (410)
40.2% (164)
+1.5%
On even strength, Lazar has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Lazar is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (854).
Lazar shoots right. Oshie is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (478).
Home / Away
Lazar
Oshie
Home
50.0% (1,541)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
47.6% (1,557)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
Lazar
Oshie
P1
48.4%
47.3%
P2
48.8%
45.2%
P3
49.1%
46.7%
OT
56.5%
40.8%
Final 5 min
49.6%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.8%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2021 | OT | 00:18 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |