Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Fiddler 52.1% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 66.1%
Defensive zone
Lazar 54.3%
Neutral zone
Lazar 59.1%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Lazar
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lazar
Fiddler
Last 8: Lazar 3-5 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
1
Lazar
Fiddler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
3
4
Lazar
Fiddler
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
53.7% (4,899)
-3.5%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
50.0% (154)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
46.9% (1,479)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Fiddler has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Lazar shoots right. Fiddler is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,195).
Home / Away
Lazar
Fiddler
Home
50.1% (1,542)
53.1% (3,191)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
51.2% (3,366)
By Period
Lazar
Fiddler
P1
48.9%
52.1%
P2
48.9%
52.6%
P3
49.5%
52.0%
OT
56.5%
46.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 08:36 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 24, 2015 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 3 | 19:33 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |