Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zubrus 44.5% vs Backes 48.7% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zubrus 75.5%
Defensive zone
Zubrus 75.3%
Neutral zone
Zubrus 75.2%
Result
Dainius Zubrus favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Zubrus
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Zubrus
Backes
Last 5: Zubrus 0-5 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
2
Zubrus
Backes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
0
3
Zubrus
Backes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zubrus
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (317)
49.1% (967)
-7.1%
Power Play
56.4% (55)
48.1% (189)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (56)
45.2% (168)
-7.7%
On power play, Zubrus has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Zubrus is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Zubrus shoots left. Backes is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Zubrus
Backes
Home
43.9% (237)
48.1% (690)
Away
42.6% (204)
49.2% (663)
By Period
Zubrus
Backes
P1
49.6%
49.0%
P2
42.7%
50.2%
P3
38.1%
47.5%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
36.4%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zubrus
50.0%▲
46.0%
43.3%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 05:35 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 04:20 | Neutral | David Backes |