Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zubrus on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zubrus 49.7% vs Thornton 54.3% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 57.9%
Defensive zone
Zubrus 63.7%
Neutral zone
Thornton 50.6%
Result
Dainius Zubrus favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Zubrus
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Zubrus
Thornton
Last 10: Zubrus 5-5 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Zubrus
Thornton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zubrus
5
3
Zubrus
Thornton
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Zubrus
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zubrus
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,069)
53.5% (6,640)
-5.2%
Power Play
58.1% (179)
57.2% (1,387)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (192)
56.7% (427)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Zubrus is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (958).
Zubrus shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
Zubrus
Thornton
Home
52.2% (761)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
47.0% (694)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Zubrus
Thornton
P1
51.3%
55.0%
P2
52.2%
53.3%
P3
45.9%
54.4%
OT
47.8%
56.4%
Final 5 min
45.8%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zubrus
50.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 17:34 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Oct 21, 2011 | OT | 03:05 | Offensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 19:33 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 1 | 00:08 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 3 | 15:22 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 3 | 13:06 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |