Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zubrus 49.7% vs Tavares 54.4% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Zubrus leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 74.9%
Defensive zone
Zubrus 54.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 62.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Zubrus
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Zubrus
Tavares
Last 10: Zubrus 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
4
Zubrus
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zubrus
7
4
Zubrus
Tavares
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zubrus
2
0
Zubrus
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zubrus
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,069)
54.0% (15,885)
-5.7%
Power Play
58.1% (179)
56.5% (4,221)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (192)
50.7% (612)
-1.2%
On even strength, Tavares has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Zubrus is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (958).
Zubrus shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,318).
Home / Away
Zubrus
Tavares
Home
52.2% (761)
56.1% (10,389)
Away
47.0% (694)
52.7% (10,358)
By Period
Zubrus
Tavares
P1
51.3%
55.1%
P2
52.2%
54.1%
P3
45.9%
54.0%
OT
47.8%
56.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zubrus
50.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 15:35 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 07:10 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 12, 2011 | OT | 01:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 3 | 06:05 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 07:03 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | Dainius Zubrus |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 17:09 | Neutral | Dainius Zubrus |