Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zubrus on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Zubrus wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zubrus 44.5% vs Eller 47.0% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zubrus 50.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 60.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 62.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Zubrus
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Zubrus
Eller
Last 5: Zubrus 3-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zubrus
2
1
Zubrus
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Zubrus
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zubrus
1
0
Zubrus
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zubrus
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (317)
45.7% (588)
-3.7%
Power Play
56.4% (55)
61.1% (18)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (56)
50.8% (63)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Zubrus is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Zubrus shoots left. Eller is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (434).
Home / Away
Zubrus
Eller
Home
43.9% (237)
48.3% (329)
Away
42.6% (204)
44.9% (356)
By Period
Zubrus
Eller
P1
49.6%
50.0%
P2
42.7%
41.3%
P3
38.1%
47.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
36.4%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zubrus
50.0%▲
46.0%
43.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 1 | 00:36 | Neutral | Dainius Zubrus |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 08:14 | Offensive | Dainius Zubrus |