Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zubrus wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zubrus 44.5% vs Goc 51.5% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zubrus 76.7%
Defensive zone
Zubrus 66.3%
Neutral zone
Zubrus 68.9%
Result
Dainius Zubrus favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Zubrus
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Zubrus
Goc
Last 5: Zubrus 1-4 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zubrus
1
0
Zubrus
Goc
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
0
1
Zubrus
Goc
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
0
3
Zubrus
Goc
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zubrus
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (317)
52.3% (727)
-10.3%
Power Play
56.4% (55)
63.8% (69)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (56)
44.0% (159)
-6.5%
On even strength, Goc has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Zubrus is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Zubrus shoots left. Goc is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Zubrus
Goc
Home
43.9% (237)
54.7% (468)
Away
42.6% (204)
48.8% (510)
By Period
Zubrus
Goc
P1
49.6%
48.9%
P2
42.7%
53.0%
P3
38.1%
52.4%
OT
50.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
36.4%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zubrus
50.0%▲
46.0%
43.3%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 09:06 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 17:58 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 07:43 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |