Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zubrus on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zubrus 49.7% vs Bozak 53.4% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Zubrus leads 19-11 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 85.0%
Defensive zone
Bozak 71.9%
Neutral zone
Bozak 72.6%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 77.3%
22.7%
77.3%
Zubrus
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
11
(30 meetings)
19
11
Zubrus
Bozak
Last 10: Zubrus 5-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zubrus
7
5
Zubrus
Bozak
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zubrus
8
4
Zubrus
Bozak
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zubrus
4
2
Zubrus
Bozak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zubrus
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,069)
53.7% (9,596)
-5.4%
Power Play
58.1% (179)
55.2% (1,990)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (192)
48.0% (1,094)
+1.5%
On even strength, Bozak has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Zubrus is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (497).
Zubrus shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Zubrus
Bozak
Home
52.2% (761)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
47.0% (694)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Zubrus
Bozak
P1
51.3%
53.2%
P2
52.2%
52.8%
P3
45.9%
54.5%
OT
47.8%
52.9%
Final 5 min
45.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zubrus
50.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2015 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 03:24 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 12, 2014 | OT | 01:48 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 2 | 08:56 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 2 | 03:08 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Dainius Zubrus |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 18:11 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 18:02 | Offensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 14:32 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 12:49 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |