Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zubrus on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zubrus 44.5% vs Bozak 52.5% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Zubrus leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 89.9%
Defensive zone
Bozak 68.1%
Neutral zone
Bozak 79.2%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 79.1%
20.9%
79.1%
Zubrus
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Zubrus
Bozak
Last 10: Zubrus 7-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zubrus
3
2
Zubrus
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zubrus
4
1
Zubrus
Bozak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zubrus
4
2
Zubrus
Bozak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zubrus
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (317)
51.7% (913)
-9.7%
Power Play
56.4% (55)
55.9% (211)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (56)
54.9% (51)
-17.4%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Zubrus is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Zubrus shoots left. Bozak is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Zubrus
Bozak
Home
43.9% (237)
52.8% (615)
Away
42.6% (204)
52.5% (583)
By Period
Zubrus
Bozak
P1
49.6%
52.5%
P2
42.7%
51.1%
P3
38.1%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
36.4%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zubrus
50.0%▲
46.0%
43.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2012 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Dainius Zubrus |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 18:11 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 18:02 | Offensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 14:32 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 12:49 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 03:05 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dainius Zubrus |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |