Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorsky 46.9% vs Frost 55.7% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorsky 75.9%
Defensive zone
Dvorsky 74.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorsky 75.4%
Result
Dalibor Dvorsky favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Dvorsky
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Dvorsky
Frost
Last 7: Dvorsky 2-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Dvorsky
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Dvorsky
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dvorsky
Frost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorsky
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (514)
54.9% (701)
-7.8%
Power Play
41.7% (72)
60.8% (166)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
100.0% (5)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Dvorsky is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Dvorsky shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Home / Away
Dvorsky
Frost
Home
46.6% (264)
56.0% (443)
Away
46.3% (324)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Dvorsky
Frost
P1
48.3%
58.9%
P2
44.7%
55.3%
P3
46.3%
54.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorsky
36.0%▼
42.5%
46.4%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 12:39 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 06:22 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:07 | Neutral | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dalibor Dvorsky |