Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorsky 46.9% vs Foligno 49.8% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorsky 79.6%
Defensive zone
Foligno 50.6%
Neutral zone
Dvorsky 67.2%
Result
Dalibor Dvorsky favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Dvorsky
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dvorsky
Foligno
Last 5: Dvorsky 1-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorsky
Foligno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
2
Dvorsky
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Dvorsky
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorsky
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (514)
49.0% (261)
-1.9%
Power Play
41.7% (72)
57.1% (42)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
47.1% (51)
+2.9%
On power play, Foligno has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Dvorsky is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Dvorsky shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Dvorsky
Foligno
Home
46.6% (264)
48.9% (178)
Away
46.3% (324)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Dvorsky
Foligno
P1
48.3%
40.4%
P2
44.7%
55.8%
P3
46.3%
51.2%
Final 5 min
42.5%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorsky
36.0%▼
42.5%
46.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 02:56 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |