Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.4% vs 46.1%). Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dvorsky wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorsky 46.9% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 64.6%
Defensive zone
Dvorsky 55.0%
Neutral zone
Dvorsky 55.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Dvorsky
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Dvorsky
Schmaltz
Last 6: Dvorsky 1-5 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
4
Dvorsky
Schmaltz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorsky
1
0
Dvorsky
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Dvorsky
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorsky
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (514)
45.9% (665)
+1.2%
Power Play
41.7% (72)
46.8% (111)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
50.0% (24)
+0.0%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Dvorsky is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Dvorsky shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Dvorsky
Schmaltz
Home
46.6% (264)
44.7% (409)
Away
46.3% (324)
47.6% (391)
By Period
Dvorsky
Schmaltz
P1
48.3%
40.3%
P2
44.7%
47.6%
P3
46.3%
51.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorsky
36.0%▼
42.5%
46.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 07:47 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |