Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.4% vs 45.5%). Look for Dvorsky on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorsky 46.9% vs Gourde 46.0% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorsky 73.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 72.1%
Neutral zone
Gourde 51.3%
Result
Dalibor Dvorsky favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Dvorsky
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Dvorsky
Gourde
Last 7: Dvorsky 5-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorsky
4
0
Dvorsky
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Dvorsky
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorsky
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorsky
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (514)
47.2% (654)
-0.1%
Power Play
41.7% (72)
45.0% (20)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
32.2% (87)
+17.8%
On penalty kill, Dvorsky has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Dvorsky is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Dvorsky shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Dvorsky
Gourde
Home
46.6% (264)
44.1% (322)
Away
46.3% (324)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Dvorsky
Gourde
P1
48.3%
42.4%
P2
44.7%
49.8%
P3
46.3%
44.3%
Final 5 min
42.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorsky
36.0%▼
42.5%
46.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 10:42 | Neutral | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |