Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Brière on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Brière wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — MacKenzie shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brière 49.1% vs MacKenzie 51.3% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brière 54.7%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 81.1%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 62.6%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Brière
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Brière
MacKenzie
Last 7: Brière 5-2 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brière
2
1
Brière
MacKenzie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brière
3
1
Brière
MacKenzie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brière
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (286)
54.9% (377)
-5.2%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
63.6% (11)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
38.5% (109)
-38.5%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Brière is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Brière shoots right. MacKenzie is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (215).
Home / Away
Brière
MacKenzie
Home
53.8% (158)
51.9% (237)
Away
44.8% (192)
51.2% (260)
By Period
Brière
MacKenzie
P1
52.1%
49.7%
P2
42.7%
50.6%
P3
52.1%
53.5%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 01:35 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |