Scouting Report
Mike Santorelli holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Santorelli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brière wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Santorelli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brière 48.4% vs Santorelli 50.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brière 53.5%
Defensive zone
Brière 54.0%
Neutral zone
Brière 50.9%
Result
Daniel Brière favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Brière
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Brière
Santorelli
Last 8: Brière 2-6 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
0
3
Brière
Santorelli
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brière
1
0
Brière
Santorelli
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Santorelli
1
3
Brière
Santorelli
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brière
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (716)
48.7% (754)
-1.8%
Power Play
57.8% (83)
57.9% (183)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (9)
49.4% (87)
+17.3%
On penalty kill, Brière has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Brière is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Brière shoots right. Santorelli is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Home / Away
Brière
Santorelli
Home
49.2% (427)
50.0% (502)
Away
47.1% (393)
50.4% (530)
By Period
Brière
Santorelli
P1
48.2%
53.4%
P2
49.5%
50.4%
P3
46.7%
46.9%
OT
42.9%
53.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.2%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 12:29 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 1 | 14:56 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 20, 2010 | 2 | 03:53 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 3 | 04:14 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 15:08 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |