Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Brière on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Brière wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brière 49.1% vs Thompson 50.8% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brière 56.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 82.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 66.6%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Brière
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Brière
Thompson
Last 8: Brière 5-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brière
3
1
Brière
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Brière
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brière
2
0
Brière
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brière
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (286)
52.2% (785)
-2.5%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
42.9% (14)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
45.7% (175)
-45.7%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +45.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Brière is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Brière shoots right. Thompson is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Brière
Thompson
Home
53.8% (158)
54.1% (475)
Away
44.8% (192)
47.9% (499)
By Period
Brière
Thompson
P1
52.1%
50.0%
P2
42.7%
49.5%
P3
52.1%
54.0%
OT
0.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 1 | 18:22 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 08:55 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 01:20 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 17:00 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |