Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Brière on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brière wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brière 48.4% vs Koivu 52.6% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brière 57.6%
Defensive zone
Koivu 87.5%
Neutral zone
Koivu 63.0%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Brière
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Brière
Koivu
Last 9: Brière 6-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brière
3
0
Brière
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Brière
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brière
2
0
Brière
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brière
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (716)
52.7% (873)
-5.8%
Power Play
57.8% (83)
63.1% (168)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (9)
47.9% (267)
+18.8%
On penalty kill, Brière has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Brière is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Brière shoots right. Koivu is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Brière
Koivu
Home
49.2% (427)
56.7% (601)
Away
47.1% (393)
49.6% (738)
By Period
Brière
Koivu
P1
48.2%
51.2%
P2
49.5%
55.2%
P3
46.7%
51.3%
OT
42.9%
62.5%
Final 5 min
49.7%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.2%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2010 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 3 | 13:27 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 03:43 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 1 | 18:38 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 1 | 11:08 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 1 | 05:09 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |