Scouting Report
Daniel Brière holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brière wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brière 49.0% vs Gagner 47.9% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 65.1%
Defensive zone
Gagner 69.4%
Neutral zone
Gagner 61.3%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Brière
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Brière
Gagner
Last 6: Brière 1-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
3
Brière
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Brière
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brière
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (682)
47.6% (599)
+0.2%
Power Play
54.9% (133)
47.7% (86)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
60.0% (5)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Gagner has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Brière is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Brière shoots right. Gagner is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Brière
Gagner
Home
49.9% (429)
49.5% (331)
Away
47.8% (402)
45.9% (370)
By Period
Brière
Gagner
P1
51.4%
47.7%
P2
46.1%
43.9%
P3
47.8%
51.8%
OT
66.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.9%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 05:23 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 2 | 10:52 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 2 | 01:52 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 16:42 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |