Scouting Report
Daniel Brière holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Brière wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brière 49.0% vs Stamkos 45.8% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 51.2%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 66.7%
Neutral zone
Brière 52.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Brière
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Brière
Stamkos
Last 5: Brière 2-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brière
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Brière
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brière
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (682)
45.6% (1,055)
+2.2%
Power Play
54.9% (133)
46.6% (116)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
42.1% (38)
+7.9%
On power play, Brière has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Brière is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Brière shoots right. Stamkos is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Brière
Stamkos
Home
49.9% (429)
48.4% (636)
Away
47.8% (402)
42.3% (591)
By Period
Brière
Stamkos
P1
51.4%
45.7%
P2
46.1%
46.8%
P3
47.8%
43.7%
OT
66.7%
48.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2012 | 1 | 04:31 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 1 | 18:14 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |
| Nov 9, 2011 | 3 | 11:08 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Nov 9, 2011 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |