Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.4%). Look for Brière on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Brière wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stapleton shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brière 48.4% vs Stapleton 48.9% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stapleton 50.7%
Defensive zone
Brière 54.8%
Neutral zone
Brière 50.9%
Result
Daniel Brière favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Brière
Stapleton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Brière
Stapleton
Last 8: Brière 4-4 Stapleton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brière
2
1
Brière
Stapleton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stapleton
2
3
Brière
Stapleton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brière
Stapleton
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (716)
47.2% (214)
-0.3%
Power Play
57.8% (83)
75.0% (8)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (9)
66.7% (3)
+0.0%
On power play, Stapleton has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stapleton shoots right. Brière is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Brière shoots right. Stapleton is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Brière
Stapleton
Home
49.2% (427)
49.6% (115)
Away
47.1% (393)
47.3% (110)
By Period
Brière
Stapleton
P1
48.2%
54.1%
P2
49.5%
46.3%
P3
46.7%
45.7%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.2%
Stapleton
38.0%▼
44.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2011 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 14:44 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 06:56 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 3 | 04:07 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 3 | 04:00 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 3 | 01:09 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 14:00 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |