Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Brière wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brière 49.0% vs Bozak 52.5% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brière 59.3%
Defensive zone
Brière 51.9%
Neutral zone
Brière 61.0%
Result
Daniel Brière favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Brière
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Brière
Bozak
Last 7: Brière 1-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Brière
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Brière
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Brière
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brière
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (682)
51.7% (913)
-3.9%
Power Play
54.9% (133)
55.9% (211)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
54.9% (51)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Brière is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Brière shoots right. Bozak is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Brière
Bozak
Home
49.9% (429)
52.8% (615)
Away
47.8% (402)
52.5% (583)
By Period
Brière
Bozak
P1
51.4%
52.5%
P2
46.1%
51.1%
P3
47.8%
55.2%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 10, 2012 | OT | 02:22 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 18:05 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 11:42 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 06:15 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |