Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Brière on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Brière wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brière 49.1% vs Smith 52.5% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Brière 77.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 71.2%
Neutral zone
Brière 50.4%
Result
Daniel Brière favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Brière
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Brière
Smith
Last 10: Brière 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brière
4
3
Brière
Smith
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Brière
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Brière
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brière
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (286)
53.0% (1,048)
-3.3%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
57.4% (47)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.0% (196)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Brière is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Brière shoots right. Smith is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (470).
Home / Away
Brière
Smith
Home
53.8% (158)
53.9% (629)
Away
44.8% (192)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Brière
Smith
P1
52.1%
50.4%
P2
42.7%
51.8%
P3
52.1%
56.4%
OT
0.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2014 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 12:17 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 11:17 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 13:50 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 04:05 | Defensive | Zack Smith |