Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cleary wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Marleau shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cleary 44.5% vs Marleau 52.1% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cleary 82.3%
Defensive zone
Cleary 64.9%
Neutral zone
Cleary 69.8%
Result
Daniel Cleary favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Cleary
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cleary
Marleau
Last 5: Cleary 1-4 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
2
Cleary
Marleau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
2
Cleary
Marleau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cleary
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (63)
50.9% (350)
-12.8%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
64.8% (54)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
51.4% (142)
-31.4%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +31.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Cleary is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (65).
Cleary shoots left. Marleau is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Cleary
Marleau
Home
44.9% (49)
54.3% (289)
Away
31.0% (42)
50.4% (260)
By Period
Cleary
Marleau
P1
37.1%
53.3%
P2
35.7%
53.3%
P3
40.7%
50.5%
OT
100.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
31.8%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cleary
50.0%▲
42.4%
38.5%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 16:29 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 17:06 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 16:29 | Neutral | Daniel Cleary |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |