Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.3% vs 43.7%). Comeau wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Winnik shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Comeau 44.6% vs Winnik 44.3% (+0.6%)
Offensive zone
Comeau 50.9%
Defensive zone
Comeau 50.2%
Neutral zone
Comeau 52.3%
Result
Blake Comeau favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Comeau
Winnik
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Comeau
Winnik
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (1,082)
45.9% (588)
-0.7%
Power Play
57.4% (129)
62.5% (16)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (449)
37.1% (248)
+1.4%
On power play, Winnik has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Winnik shoots left. Comeau is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Comeau shoots right. Winnik is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Comeau
Winnik
Home
47.8% (894)
48.5% (406)
Away
40.2% (768)
39.2% (446)
By Period
Comeau
Winnik
P1
45.0%
48.8%
P2
44.0%
40.6%
P3
44.3%
42.8%
OT
28.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.6%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Comeau
56.0%▲
47.0%
44.3%
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%