Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +21.6% FO% edge overall. Winnik wins 30.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winnik 43.1% vs Pavelski 51.6% (-21.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Winnik 55.4%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 53.8%
Neutral zone
Winnik 56.2%
Result
Daniel Winnik favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Winnik
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Winnik
Pavelski
Last 5: Winnik 2-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Winnik
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Winnik
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Winnik
1
0
Winnik
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winnik
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (30)
50.4% (480)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
26.1% (23)
60.2% (83)
-34.1%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Winnik is 30.4% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Winnik shoots left. Pavelski is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Winnik
Pavelski
Home
29.6% (27)
53.1% (311)
Away
30.8% (26)
50.7% (349)
By Period
Winnik
Pavelski
P1
33.3%
55.4%
P2
38.9%
49.6%
P3
23.5%
51.7%
OT
16.7%
36.4%
Final 5 min
20.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
30.2%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2013 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 01:43 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |