Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Winnik wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winnik 44.3% vs Tavares 54.4% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Result
John Tavares favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Winnik
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Winnik
Tavares
Last 7: Winnik 3-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
4
Winnik
Tavares
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winnik
1
0
Winnik
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Winnik
1
0
Winnik
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winnik
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (588)
54.0% (15,885)
-8.1%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
56.5% (4,221)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (248)
50.7% (612)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Winnik is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (538).
Winnik shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,318).
Home / Away
Winnik
Tavares
Home
48.5% (406)
56.1% (10,389)
Away
39.2% (446)
52.7% (10,358)
By Period
Winnik
Tavares
P1
48.8%
55.1%
P2
40.6%
54.1%
P3
42.8%
54.0%
OT
33.3%
56.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 02:10 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 02:00 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | Daniel Winnik |