Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.7% vs 43.1%). Look for Winnik on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Winnik wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winnik 44.3% vs Ribeiro 43.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 72.3%
Defensive zone
Winnik 74.9%
Neutral zone
Winnik 54.0%
Result
Daniel Winnik favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Winnik
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Winnik
Ribeiro
Last 8: Winnik 5-3 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Winnik
Ribeiro
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winnik
4
0
Winnik
Ribeiro
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
2
Winnik
Ribeiro
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winnik
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (588)
42.9% (4,887)
+3.0%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
45.6% (930)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (248)
33.3% (147)
+3.8%
On power play, Winnik has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Winnik is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (538).
Winnik shoots left. Ribeiro is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,885).
Home / Away
Winnik
Ribeiro
Home
48.5% (406)
44.1% (3,144)
Away
39.2% (446)
41.9% (2,837)
By Period
Winnik
Ribeiro
P1
48.8%
42.6%
P2
40.6%
44.3%
P3
42.8%
41.8%
OT
33.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 1 | 13:42 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 18:21 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Daniel Winnik |