Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Winnik wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winnik 44.3% vs Stastny 55.1% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 85.2%
Defensive zone
Stastny 67.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 82.7%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Winnik
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Winnik
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winnik
1
0
Winnik
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winnik
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (588)
54.6% (10,616)
-8.7%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
59.1% (1,994)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (248)
52.9% (1,119)
-15.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Winnik is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (538).
Winnik shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Winnik
Stastny
Home
48.5% (406)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
39.2% (446)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Winnik
Stastny
P1
48.8%
56.3%
P2
40.6%
55.4%
P3
42.8%
53.5%
OT
33.3%
62.9%
Final 5 min
43.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 13:27 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |