Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Winnik on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Winnik wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winnik 44.3% vs Johansen 53.3% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Winnik leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 91.4%
Defensive zone
Johansen 68.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 84.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 79.6%
20.4%
79.6%
Winnik
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Winnik
Johansen
Last 10: Winnik 5-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Winnik
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winnik
6
0
Winnik
Johansen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Winnik
Johansen
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winnik
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (588)
53.1% (11,017)
-7.2%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
56.2% (2,163)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (248)
50.5% (978)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Winnik is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Winnik shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Winnik
Johansen
Home
48.5% (406)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
39.2% (446)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Winnik
Johansen
P1
48.8%
53.2%
P2
40.6%
53.9%
P3
42.8%
52.8%
OT
33.3%
58.2%
Final 5 min
43.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2017 | 2 | 17:04 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 13:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 07:28 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 03:37 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |