Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Winnik on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Winnik wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winnik 47.9% vs Johansen 51.8% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Winnik leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 82.8%
Defensive zone
Johansen 64.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 69.2%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Winnik
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Winnik
Johansen
Last 10: Winnik 7-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Winnik
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winnik
4
0
Winnik
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Winnik
3
2
Winnik
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winnik
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (116)
51.6% (1,127)
-3.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
53.6% (267)
+46.4%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (111)
51.6% (244)
-6.6%
On power play, Winnik has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Winnik is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Winnik shoots left. Johansen is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Home / Away
Winnik
Johansen
Home
46.9% (98)
55.0% (809)
Away
46.9% (130)
49.0% (829)
By Period
Winnik
Johansen
P1
55.1%
50.7%
P2
41.2%
54.4%
P3
45.9%
50.5%
Final 5 min
54.9%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
46.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 07:28 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 03:37 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |