Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Winnik wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winnik 44.3% vs Kesler 55.9% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Winnik 51.1%
Defensive zone
Kesler 53.1%
Neutral zone
Kesler 57.8%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Winnik
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Winnik
Kesler
Last 10: Winnik 6-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
5
Winnik
Kesler
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winnik
3
2
Winnik
Kesler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Winnik
1
0
Winnik
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winnik
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (588)
56.4% (8,095)
-10.5%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
60.7% (1,437)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (248)
50.5% (1,908)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Winnik is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Winnik shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Winnik
Kesler
Home
48.5% (406)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
39.2% (446)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Winnik
Kesler
P1
48.8%
56.5%
P2
40.6%
55.9%
P3
42.8%
56.1%
OT
33.3%
46.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2015 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 1 | 19:38 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 13:35 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 16:22 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 1 | 11:35 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |