Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Winnik on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Winnik wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winnik 46.5% vs Monahan 50.4% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 88.2%
Defensive zone
Monahan 57.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 76.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Winnik
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Winnik
Monahan
Last 6: Winnik 4-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Winnik
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winnik
3
1
Winnik
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winnik
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (166)
51.0% (1,063)
-7.0%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
49.4% (314)
+50.6%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (30)
40.0% (30)
+3.3%
On power play, Winnik has a +50.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Winnik is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (127).
Winnik shoots left. Monahan is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (899).
Home / Away
Winnik
Monahan
Home
52.8% (89)
53.8% (705)
Away
38.2% (110)
47.0% (702)
By Period
Winnik
Monahan
P1
47.1%
47.3%
P2
43.1%
53.9%
P3
43.9%
49.6%
Final 5 min
47.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
44.7%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2018 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 02:31 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 1 | 12:14 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 04:50 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |