Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Winnik wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winnik 44.3% vs Horcoff 49.6% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Winnik 68.6%
Defensive zone
Winnik 67.6%
Neutral zone
Winnik 68.2%
Result
Daniel Winnik favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Winnik
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Winnik
Horcoff
Last 9: Winnik 3-6 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
3
Winnik
Horcoff
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winnik
2
0
Winnik
Horcoff
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
3
Winnik
Horcoff
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winnik
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (588)
50.6% (3,133)
-4.7%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
51.4% (555)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (248)
43.0% (567)
-5.9%
On power play, Winnik has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Winnik is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (538).
Winnik shoots left. Horcoff is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,000).
Home / Away
Winnik
Horcoff
Home
48.5% (406)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
39.2% (446)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Winnik
Horcoff
P1
48.8%
48.2%
P2
40.6%
49.5%
P3
42.8%
50.9%
OT
33.3%
51.9%
Final 5 min
43.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2013 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 26, 2013 | 2 | 19:24 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 26, 2013 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 26, 2013 | 2 | 10:34 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 26, 2013 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 26, 2013 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 12:51 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 2 | 10:34 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |