Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Winnik wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winnik 44.3% vs Crosby 53.5% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Winnik 79.8%
Defensive zone
Winnik 92.7%
Neutral zone
Winnik 85.7%
Result
Daniel Winnik favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
Winnik
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Winnik
Crosby
Last 9: Winnik 2-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
4
Winnik
Crosby
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Winnik
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Winnik
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winnik
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (588)
52.8% (17,990)
-6.9%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
57.4% (4,733)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (248)
47.1% (765)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Winnik is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (538).
Winnik shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Winnik
Crosby
Home
48.5% (406)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
39.2% (446)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Winnik
Crosby
P1
48.8%
53.6%
P2
40.6%
53.9%
P3
42.8%
53.3%
OT
33.3%
49.6%
Final 5 min
43.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2014 | 3 | 05:19 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 3 | 08:05 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 12:55 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 2 | 13:25 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |