Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Winnik wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winnik 45.6% vs Crosby 52.4% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Winnik 80.9%
Defensive zone
Winnik 76.8%
Neutral zone
Winnik 77.6%
Result
Daniel Winnik favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Winnik
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Winnik
Crosby
Last 6: Winnik 1-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Winnik
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Winnik
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Winnik
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winnik
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (162)
50.9% (1,345)
-5.8%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
59.5% (439)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (29)
44.7% (103)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Winnik is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Winnik shoots left. Crosby is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,180).
Home / Away
Winnik
Crosby
Home
55.9% (93)
53.9% (941)
Away
32.0% (103)
51.2% (946)
By Period
Winnik
Crosby
P1
45.6%
49.3%
P2
42.2%
54.5%
P3
42.6%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
40.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
43.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 2 | 13:25 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |