Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Winnik wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winnik 44.3% vs Johnson 49.7% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Winnik 84.7%
Defensive zone
Winnik 83.0%
Neutral zone
Winnik 81.3%
Result
Daniel Winnik favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Winnik
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
12
(16 meetings)
4
12
Winnik
Johnson
Last 10: Winnik 3-7 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
5
Winnik
Johnson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
4
Winnik
Johnson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
3
Winnik
Johnson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winnik
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (588)
49.8% (5,396)
-3.9%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
54.6% (885)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (248)
42.3% (707)
-5.2%
On power play, Winnik has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Winnik is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Winnik shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Winnik
Johnson
Home
48.5% (406)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
39.2% (446)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Winnik
Johnson
P1
48.8%
50.1%
P2
40.6%
50.6%
P3
42.8%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
42.5%
Final 5 min
43.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 2 | 08:04 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 1 | 09:41 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 16:07 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 15:38 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |