Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Winnik wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winnik 45.6% vs Johnson 48.3% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Winnik 73.4%
Defensive zone
Winnik 59.9%
Neutral zone
Winnik 59.8%
Result
Daniel Winnik favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Winnik
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Winnik
Johnson
Last 10: Winnik 2-8 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Winnik
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Winnik
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Winnik
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winnik
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (162)
48.7% (941)
-3.6%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
49.6% (133)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (29)
44.8% (201)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Winnik is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Winnik shoots left. Johnson is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (862).
Home / Away
Winnik
Johnson
Home
55.9% (93)
50.5% (588)
Away
32.0% (103)
46.1% (687)
By Period
Winnik
Johnson
P1
45.6%
49.4%
P2
42.2%
47.3%
P3
42.6%
48.1%
OT
50.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
40.9%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
43.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2013 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 2 | 08:04 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 1 | 09:41 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 16:07 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 15:38 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |