Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (39.1% vs 39.8%). Look for Yurov on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Yurov wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Lapierre shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Yurov 40.6% vs Lapierre 42.7% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 57.4%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 65.8%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 57.1%
Result
Hendrix Lapierre favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Yurov
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Yurov
Lapierre
Last 6: Yurov 4-2 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Yurov
1
0
Yurov
Lapierre
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
0
1
Yurov
Lapierre
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Yurov
3
1
Yurov
Lapierre
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Yurov
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (621)
39.9% (248)
-0.3%
Power Play
27.8% (18)
40.0% (5)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
0.0% (1)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Yurov has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots left. Yurov is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Yurov shoots left. Lapierre is 35.1% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Yurov
Lapierre
Home
43.1% (332)
44.2% (138)
Away
34.9% (315)
34.5% (116)
By Period
Yurov
Lapierre
P1
37.5%
54.2%
P2
38.1%
39.1%
P3
41.9%
25.3%
Final 5 min
40.6%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Yurov
44.0%▲
38.5%
39.1%
Lapierre
40.0%▬
39.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 10:51 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 02:09 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | Hendrix Lapierre |