Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Regan 48.0% vs Grant 52.2% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Regan 85.3%
Defensive zone
O'Regan 54.4%
Neutral zone
O'Regan 69.6%
Result
Danny O'Regan favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
O'Regan
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
O'Regan
Grant
Last 6: O'Regan 1-5 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
1
O'Regan
Grant
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
3
O'Regan
Grant
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
O'Regan
Grant
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Regan
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (167)
53.7% (2,864)
-8.2%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
61.7% (175)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
46.0% (922)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Grant has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. O'Regan is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (114).
O'Regan shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Home / Away
O'Regan
Grant
Home
52.7% (112)
54.3% (1,956)
Away
37.7% (69)
50.2% (2,005)
By Period
O'Regan
Grant
P1
42.2%
51.1%
P2
50.9%
51.5%
P3
48.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
41.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Regan
44.0%▼
47.0%
47.0%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 01:30 | Neutral | Danny O'Regan |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Derek Grant |