Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Regan on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). O'Regan wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Regan 48.0% vs Letestu 52.1% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Letestu 64.0%
Defensive zone
Letestu 89.0%
Neutral zone
Letestu 84.0%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 81.9%
18.1%
81.9%
O'Regan
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
O'Regan
Letestu
Last 7: O'Regan 5-2 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Regan
1
0
O'Regan
Letestu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Regan
1
0
O'Regan
Letestu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Regan
3
2
O'Regan
Letestu
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Regan
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (167)
53.3% (4,565)
-7.8%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
56.0% (687)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
44.2% (1,005)
-10.9%
On power play, O'Regan has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. O'Regan is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (67).
O'Regan shoots right. Letestu is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,854).
Home / Away
O'Regan
Letestu
Home
52.7% (112)
54.0% (3,024)
Away
37.7% (69)
50.4% (3,249)
By Period
O'Regan
Letestu
P1
42.2%
51.5%
P2
50.9%
55.0%
P3
48.3%
49.8%
Final 5 min
41.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Regan
44.0%▼
47.0%
47.0%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 18:59 | Defensive | Danny O'Regan |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 11:40 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 08:43 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Danny O'Regan |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 02:30 | Neutral | Danny O'Regan |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Danny O'Regan |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 3 | 03:00 | Neutral | Danny O'Regan |