Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Regan on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). O'Regan wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Regan 49.1% vs Letestu 53.0% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Letestu 61.0%
Defensive zone
Letestu 90.7%
Neutral zone
Letestu 83.9%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 81.6%
18.4%
81.6%
O'Regan
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
O'Regan
Letestu
Last 7: O'Regan 5-2 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Regan
1
0
O'Regan
Letestu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Regan
1
0
O'Regan
Letestu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Regan
3
2
O'Regan
Letestu
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Regan
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (108)
53.3% (625)
-7.9%
Power Play
88.9% (9)
59.6% (89)
+29.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
50.3% (173)
-17.0%
On power play, O'Regan has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. O'Regan is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (43).
O'Regan shoots right. Letestu is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (293).
Home / Away
O'Regan
Letestu
Home
58.7% (63)
55.8% (421)
Away
36.8% (57)
51.1% (466)
By Period
O'Regan
Letestu
P1
42.9%
52.0%
P2
50.0%
55.2%
P3
52.5%
53.4%
Final 5 min
44.8%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Regan
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.3%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 18:59 | Defensive | Danny O'Regan |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 11:40 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 08:43 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Danny O'Regan |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 02:30 | Neutral | Danny O'Regan |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Danny O'Regan |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 3 | 03:00 | Neutral | Danny O'Regan |