Scouting Report
Danny O'Regan holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Regan 49.2% vs Zacha 42.0% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 65.4%
Defensive zone
Zacha 81.6%
Neutral zone
Zacha 71.0%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
O'Regan
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
O'Regan
Zacha
Last 5: O'Regan 1-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
O'Regan
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Regan
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
O'Regan
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Regan
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (30)
40.9% (399)
+9.1%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
39.5% (43)
-39.5%
On power play, Zacha has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. O'Regan is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (18).
O'Regan shoots right. Zacha is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
O'Regan
Zacha
Home
50.0% (26)
41.4% (261)
Away
33.3% (6)
38.8% (196)
By Period
O'Regan
Zacha
P1
63.6%
38.6%
P2
50.0%
44.4%
P3
22.2%
36.9%
Final 5 min
40.0%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Regan
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.9%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Danny O'Regan |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 08:06 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |