Scouting Report
Darren Helm holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowell on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 51.7% vs Dowell 48.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowell 52.6%
Defensive zone
Helm 54.3%
Neutral zone
Dowell 62.1%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Helm
Dowell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Helm
Dowell
Last 9: Helm 4-5 Dowell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Helm
Dowell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
2
3
Helm
Dowell
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Helm
Dowell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Dowell
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (607)
46.1% (180)
+5.3%
Power Play
42.3% (26)
100.0% (1)
-57.7%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (136)
62.5% (16)
-7.4%
On power play, Dowell has a +57.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowell shoots left. Helm is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Helm shoots left. Dowell is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (146).
Home / Away
Helm
Dowell
Home
52.8% (371)
49.5% (107)
Away
51.0% (406)
45.6% (90)
By Period
Helm
Dowell
P1
50.4%
52.3%
P2
54.7%
44.3%
P3
50.6%
46.8%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
51.9%
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 14:45 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 12:58 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 00:59 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Darren Helm |