Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 51.7% vs Stoll 54.6% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helm 69.9%
Defensive zone
Helm 70.9%
Neutral zone
Helm 68.2%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Helm
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Helm
Stoll
Last 9: Helm 3-6 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helm
1
0
Helm
Stoll
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
2
Helm
Stoll
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
4
Helm
Stoll
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (607)
56.2% (853)
-4.8%
Power Play
42.3% (26)
53.3% (135)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (136)
51.5% (200)
+3.6%
On power play, Stoll has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Helm is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Helm shoots left. Stoll is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
Helm
Stoll
Home
52.8% (371)
60.0% (620)
Away
51.0% (406)
49.7% (584)
By Period
Helm
Stoll
P1
50.4%
55.4%
P2
54.7%
54.6%
P3
50.6%
54.6%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
51.9%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 3 | 14:06 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 3 | 04:53 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 2 | 05:43 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |