Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Helm wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 49.2% vs Beagle 51.4% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helm 63.5%
Defensive zone
Helm 63.9%
Neutral zone
Helm 61.1%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Helm
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Helm
Beagle
Last 8: Helm 2-6 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Helm
Beagle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
4
Helm
Beagle
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Helm
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (438)
51.2% (514)
-2.8%
Power Play
60.0% (30)
38.9% (18)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (80)
63.4% (41)
-14.6%
On power play, Helm has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Helm is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (193).
Helm shoots left. Beagle is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Helm
Beagle
Home
47.1% (276)
57.1% (280)
Away
51.1% (272)
46.4% (293)
By Period
Helm
Beagle
P1
47.9%
46.5%
P2
52.7%
56.3%
P3
46.2%
52.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.1%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2014 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 2, 2014 | 3 | 04:59 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 2, 2014 | 3 | 04:50 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 2, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 2, 2014 | 2 | 06:16 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 2, 2014 | 2 | 06:08 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 2, 2014 | 2 | 03:22 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 31, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Darren Helm |