Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.7% vs Smithson 56.5% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Smithson leads 17-7 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Helm 91.3%
Defensive zone
Helm 86.8%
Neutral zone
Helm 87.6%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 88.5%
88.5%
11.5%
Helm
Smithson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
17
(24 meetings)
7
17
Helm
Smithson
Last 10: Helm 2-8 Smithson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
2
5
Helm
Smithson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
6
Helm
Smithson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
4
6
Helm
Smithson
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Smithson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (2,790)
58.4% (1,842)
-7.3%
Power Play
54.7% (148)
55.6% (45)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (719)
50.6% (443)
-2.6%
On even strength, Smithson has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smithson shoots right. Helm is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,242).
Helm shoots left. Smithson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,681).
Home / Away
Helm
Smithson
Home
51.8% (1,800)
58.4% (1,195)
Away
49.7% (1,877)
55.0% (1,150)
By Period
Helm
Smithson
P1
49.5%
55.9%
P2
52.8%
55.3%
P3
49.7%
59.0%
OT
50.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
50.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 06:49 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 19:33 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 1 | 19:46 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 2 | 01:31 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 11:26 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 1 | 03:31 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 15:32 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 3 | 04:03 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |