Scouting Report
Darren Helm holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Helm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Helm wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Wilson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 52.3% vs Wilson 48.5% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helm 51.7%
Defensive zone
Helm 82.7%
Neutral zone
Helm 62.8%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Helm
Wilson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Helm
Wilson
Last 6: Helm 4-2 Wilson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
0
2
Helm
Wilson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
4
0
Helm
Wilson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (678)
48.7% (115)
+4.2%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
100.0% (2)
-46.2%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (235)
26.7% (15)
+23.9%
On power play, Wilson has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots right. Helm is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Helm shoots left. Wilson is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Helm
Wilson
Home
56.5% (444)
43.3% (67)
Away
49.0% (494)
51.5% (66)
By Period
Helm
Wilson
P1
54.6%
42.9%
P2
51.8%
51.9%
P3
51.4%
45.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
52.6%
Wilson
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Kyle Wilson |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 2 | 01:52 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | Kyle Wilson |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Darren Helm |