Scouting Report
Darren Helm holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Komarov on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.7% vs Komarov 47.6% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helm 53.5%
Defensive zone
Helm 51.6%
Neutral zone
Komarov 54.0%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Helm
Komarov
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Helm
Komarov
Last 6: Helm 3-3 Komarov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helm
2
0
Helm
Komarov
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
1
2
Helm
Komarov
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Komarov
0
1
Helm
Komarov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Komarov
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (2,790)
48.6% (695)
+2.5%
Power Play
54.7% (148)
37.5% (16)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (719)
45.6% (417)
+2.4%
On power play, Helm has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Komarov shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Helm shoots left. Komarov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Helm
Komarov
Home
51.8% (1,800)
49.2% (537)
Away
49.7% (1,877)
45.7% (591)
By Period
Helm
Komarov
P1
49.5%
47.6%
P2
52.8%
47.3%
P3
49.7%
47.5%
OT
50.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
50.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 1 | 16:21 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 02:46 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 00:20 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |